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Fortunately, the reward of giving your whole team +3/+0 or drawing three cards when you connect in combat is huge
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Most famous is (Bayer & Diaconis 1992), co-authored with mathematician Dave Bayer, which analyzed the GilbertShannonReeds model of random riffle shuffling and concluded that the deck did not start to become random until five good riffle shuffles, and was truly random after seven, in the precise sense of variation distance described in Markov chain mixing time
If you dont need to stop a Swords to Plowshares thats targeting your commander, maybe that Negate can snag a Bolass Citadel or Teferis Protection instead
Round out your deck with cards like Ursulas Shell Necklace , Friends on The Other Side , and Be Our Guest to quickly find whatever cards you need
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